South Carolina natural hazard risk by county
South Carolina has about $2.99 billion in modeled expected annual loss across 46 counties. The state accounts for 1.9% of the national modeled loss total. Its total ranks #17 among 56 state-level entries by modeled loss. FEMA published these 46 county estimates in its December 2025 National Risk Index. The modeled $2.99 billion annual average does not predict loss in any one year.
- Modeled expected annual loss
- $2.99 billion / year
- Share of US loss
- 1.9%
- State loss rank
- #17 of 56
- Largest modeled-loss hazard
- Hurricane
South Carolina county modeled loss
- Positive estimates to $10.3 million
- Above $10.3 million to $23.4 million
- Above $23.4 million to $37.8 million
- Above $37.8 million to $90.2 million
- Above $90.2 million to $499.8 million
- No FEMA estimate
South Carolina counties use five within-state quantile classes of modeled expected annual loss. Darker rust means a larger estimate; outlined counties have detailed pages.
View chart data
| County | Modeled expected annual loss (USD/year) | Overall risk rating |
|---|---|---|
| Greenville County, SC | 168,987,700.40 | Relatively Moderate |
| Bamberg County, SC | 9,304,193.76 | Relatively Low |
| Chester County, SC | 10,840,876.93 | Relatively Low |
| Union County, SC | 12,508,596.56 | Relatively Low |
| Florence County, SC | 65,170,610.90 | Relatively Moderate |
| Saluda County, SC | 8,169,411.39 | Very Low |
| Anderson County, SC | 67,321,570.31 | Relatively Moderate |
| Greenwood County, SC | 27,304,485.02 | Relatively Low |
| Charleston County, SC | 499,798,732.73 | Relatively High |
| York County, SC | 99,245,543.56 | Relatively Moderate |
| Jasper County, SC | 28,814,146.63 | Relatively Low |
| Beaufort County, SC | 255,596,413.63 | Relatively High |
| Chesterfield County, SC | 22,482,718.85 | Relatively Low |
| Dorchester County, SC | 175,800,036.92 | Relatively Moderate |
| Clarendon County, SC | 23,391,160.21 | Relatively Low |
| Darlington County, SC | 22,406,135.40 | Relatively Low |
| Dillon County, SC | 34,970,947.28 | Relatively Moderate |
| Georgetown County, SC | 90,176,010.34 | Relatively Moderate |
| Hampton County, SC | 15,113,492.77 | Relatively Low |
| Lancaster County, SC | 40,147,148.68 | Relatively Low |
| Lee County, SC | 7,602,464.23 | Very Low |
| McCormick County, SC | 2,782,887.17 | Very Low |
| Pickens County, SC | 37,051,088.81 | Relatively Low |
| Sumter County, SC | 40,677,998.58 | Relatively Moderate |
| Allendale County, SC | 7,075,688.34 | Very Low |
| Abbeville County, SC | 10,277,233.42 | Relatively Low |
| Williamsburg County, SC | 30,172,390.73 | Relatively Moderate |
| Aiken County, SC | 47,548,894.22 | Relatively Moderate |
| Horry County, SC | 290,395,172.52 | Relatively High |
| Colleton County, SC | 37,809,134.99 | Relatively Moderate |
| Laurens County, SC | 27,051,658.20 | Relatively Low |
| Fairfield County, SC | 8,485,276.55 | Very Low |
| Kershaw County, SC | 23,452,184.19 | Relatively Low |
| Oconee County, SC | 45,124,023.37 | Relatively Moderate |
| Spartanburg County, SC | 89,346,675.78 | Relatively Moderate |
| Berkeley County, SC | 213,548,238.27 | Relatively High |
| Edgefield County, SC | 6,758,452.12 | Very Low |
| Orangeburg County, SC | 44,299,793.91 | Relatively Moderate |
| Newberry County, SC | 17,285,069.95 | Relatively Low |
| Lexington County, SC | 108,163,417.22 | Relatively Moderate |
| Marlboro County, SC | 11,389,410.12 | Relatively Low |
| Barnwell County, SC | 8,357,925.74 | Relatively Low |
| Cherokee County, SC | 23,427,748.91 | Relatively Low |
| Marion County, SC | 27,137,729.44 | Relatively Low |
| Richland County, SC | 137,805,083.60 | Relatively Moderate |
| Calhoun County, SC | 6,088,464.09 | Very Low |
Reading the South Carolina county map
The map groups 46 county estimates into five within-state loss classes. Each boundary follows the county geography, while the fill represents modeled dollars per year. The class breaks are calculated from South Carolina county values, so a matching shade on another state page need not represent the same amount. Grey marks unmatched geography or an unavailable estimate. Outlined counties link to the detailed profiles available in this release; counties without profiles still contribute to the state totals.
Together, the three largest estimates account for 35.0% of South Carolina modeled annual loss. Their combined population represents 18.5% of the state source population. Comparing these two shares helps distinguish the concentration of modeled dollars from the concentration of residents. Neither share identifies the exposure of an individual address, and the map does not show the location of damage within a county.
Ten largest county loss estimates
Charleston County, SC has the largest modeled expected annual loss in this comparison, about $499.8 million.
View chart data
| Place | USD / year |
|---|---|
| Charleston County, SC | 499,798,732.73 |
| Horry County, SC | 290,395,172.52 |
| Beaufort County, SC | 255,596,413.63 |
| Berkeley County, SC | 213,548,238.27 |
| Dorchester County, SC | 175,800,036.92 |
| Greenville County, SC | 168,987,700.40 |
| Richland County, SC | 137,805,083.60 |
| Lexington County, SC | 108,163,417.22 |
| York County, SC | 99,245,543.56 |
| Georgetown County, SC | 90,176,010.34 |
County totals beside population
Charleston County, SC combines about $499.8 million in modeled annual loss with 407,722 recorded residents. Dividing those figures gives about $1,226 per resident, compared with $584 statewide. On this population-adjusted measure, the county places #4 among the 46 state county records. This ratio spreads all modeled losses across residents for comparison; it is not a household bill, an insurance premium or an estimate of personal damage.
Horry County, SC combines about $290.4 million in modeled annual loss with 348,574 recorded residents. Dividing those figures gives about $833 per resident, compared with $584 statewide. On this population-adjusted measure, the county places #12 among the 46 state county records. This ratio spreads all modeled losses across residents for comparison; it is not a household bill, an insurance premium or an estimate of personal damage.
State hazard loss mix
Hurricane leads the modeled expected annual loss mix; bar lengths share a zero baseline.
View chart data
| Hazard | USD / year | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Hurricane | 1,190,765,748.41 | 39.9% |
| Riverine Flood | 785,006,242.69 | 26.3% |
| Earthquake | 374,116,977.84 | 12.5% |
| Tornado | 201,801,814.05 | 6.8% |
| Cold Wave | 152,261,530.54 | 5.1% |
| Coastal Flood | 57,196,655.60 | 1.9% |
| Other | 225,515,082.68 | 7.6% |
Beaufort County, SC combines about $255.6 million in modeled annual loss with 186,606 recorded residents. Dividing those figures gives about $1,370 per resident, compared with $584 statewide. On this population-adjusted measure, the county places #2 among the 46 state county records. This ratio spreads all modeled losses across residents for comparison; it is not a household bill, an insurance premium or an estimate of personal damage.
Where the leading hazards are concentrated
For hurricanes, Charleston County, SC contributes 23.6% of the state hazard total. The next county, Beaufort County, SC, contributes about $200.6 million annually, compared with $281.3 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 46 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $708.8 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #6 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 39.9%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.
County hazard rating counts
- Very Low
- Relatively Low
- Relatively Moderate
- Relatively High
- Very High
- No rating
South Carolina has 46 county records in each row. Each bar shows the FEMA risk rating distribution for one of the three largest modeled-loss hazards.
View chart data
| Hazard | Rating | Count |
|---|---|---|
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0 |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 18 |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate | 13 |
| Hurricane | Relatively High | 10 |
| Hurricane | Very High | 5 |
| Hurricane | No rating | 0 |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 8 |
| Riverine Flood | Relatively Low | 19 |
| Riverine Flood | Relatively Moderate | 17 |
| Riverine Flood | Relatively High | 2 |
| Riverine Flood | Very High | 0 |
| Riverine Flood | No rating | 0 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 1 |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 30 |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 14 |
| Earthquake | Relatively High | 1 |
| Earthquake | Very High | 0 |
| Earthquake | No rating | 0 |
For riverine flooding, Greenville County, SC contributes 13.3% of the state hazard total. The next county, Richland County, SC, contributes about $74.1 million annually, compared with $104.5 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 46 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $606.5 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #28 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 26.3%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.
For earthquakes, Charleston County, SC contributes 31.5% of the state hazard total. The next county, Dorchester County, SC, contributes about $58.2 million annually, compared with $118.0 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 46 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $197.9 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #10 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 12.5%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.
For tornadoes, Lexington County, SC contributes 11.8% of the state hazard total. The next county, York County, SC, contributes about $23.4 million annually, compared with $23.9 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 46 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $154.5 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #22 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 6.8%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.
For cold waves, Oconee County, SC contributes 13.1% of the state hazard total. The next county, Greenville County, SC, contributes about $15.0 million annually, compared with $20.0 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 46 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $117.3 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #24 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 5.1%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.
For coastal flooding, Charleston County, SC contributes 62.3% of the state hazard total. The next county, Beaufort County, SC, contributes about $9.8 million annually, compared with $35.6 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 11 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $11.7 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #7 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 1.9%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.
South Carolina hazard totals and county comparisons
| Hazard | Modeled annual loss | State share | VH / RH counties | Largest county | US state rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricane | $1.19 billion | 39.9% | 5 / 10 | Charleston County, SC | #6 of 56 |
| Riverine Flood | $785.0 million | 26.3% | 0 / 2 | Greenville County, SC | #28 of 56 |
| Earthquake | $374.1 million | 12.5% | 0 / 1 | Charleston County, SC | #10 of 56 |
| Tornado | $201.8 million | 6.8% | 0 / 7 | Lexington County, SC | #22 of 56 |
| Cold Wave | $152.3 million | 5.1% | 0 / 7 | Oconee County, SC | #24 of 56 |
| Coastal Flood | $57.2 million | 1.9% | 1 / 3 | Charleston County, SC | #7 of 56 |
| Heat Wave | $53.9 million | 1.8% | 0 / 0 | Richland County, SC | #31 of 56 |
| Strong Wind | $48.3 million | 1.6% | 0 / 14 | York County, SC | #25 of 56 |
| Ice Storm | $41.7 million | 1.4% | 6 / 23 | Greenville County, SC | #7 of 56 |
| Lightning | $36.3 million | 1.2% | 2 / 18 | Greenville County, SC | #18 of 56 |
| Hail | $20.9 million | 0.7% | 0 / 0 | Greenville County, SC | #26 of 56 |
| Wildfire | $14.9 million | 0.5% | 0 / 0 | Charleston County, SC | #21 of 56 |
| Drought | $5.8 million | 0.2% | 0 / 0 | York County, SC | #30 of 56 |
| Winter Weather | $3.4 million | 0.1% | 0 / 2 | Horry County, SC | #36 of 56 |
| Landslide | $148,000 | 0.0% | 0 / 0 | Richland County, SC | #42 of 56 |
Hazard shares show which modeled expected annual losses dominate the state total; ranks compare state totals for the same hazard.
South Carolina hazard totals combine the county estimates. The largest county column identifies concentration within each hazard; the state rank compares the same hazard across state-level entries.
South Carolina county loss totals
| County | Risk index rating | Modeled annual loss | Largest hazard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston County | Relatively High | $499.8 million | Hurricane |
| Horry County | Relatively High | $290.4 million | Hurricane |
| Beaufort County | Relatively High | $255.6 million | Hurricane |
| Berkeley County | Relatively High | $213.5 million | Hurricane |
| Dorchester County | Relatively Moderate | $175.8 million | Hurricane |
| Greenville County | Relatively Moderate | $169.0 million | Riverine Flood |
| Richland County | Relatively Moderate | $137.8 million | Riverine Flood |
| Lexington County | Relatively Moderate | $108.2 million | Riverine Flood |
| York County | Relatively Moderate | $99.2 million | Riverine Flood |
| Georgetown County | Relatively Moderate | $90.2 million | Hurricane |
| Spartanburg County | Relatively Moderate | $89.3 million | Riverine Flood |
| Anderson County | Relatively Moderate | $67.3 million | Riverine Flood |
| Florence County | Relatively Moderate | $65.2 million | Hurricane |
| Aiken County | Relatively Moderate | $47.5 million | Riverine Flood |
| Oconee County | Relatively Moderate | $45.1 million | Cold Wave |
Show all 46 counties
| County | Risk index rating | Modeled annual loss | Largest hazard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orangeburg County | Relatively Moderate | $44.3 million | Hurricane |
| Sumter County | Relatively Moderate | $40.7 million | Riverine Flood |
| Lancaster County | Relatively Low | $40.1 million | Riverine Flood |
| Colleton County | Relatively Moderate | $37.8 million | Hurricane |
| Pickens County | Relatively Low | $37.1 million | Riverine Flood |
| Dillon County | Relatively Moderate | $35.0 million | Hurricane |
| Williamsburg County | Relatively Moderate | $30.2 million | Hurricane |
| Jasper County | Relatively Low | $28.8 million | Hurricane |
| Greenwood County | Relatively Low | $27.3 million | Riverine Flood |
| Marion County | Relatively Low | $27.1 million | Hurricane |
| Laurens County | Relatively Low | $27.1 million | Riverine Flood |
| Kershaw County | Relatively Low | $23.5 million | Riverine Flood |
| Cherokee County | Relatively Low | $23.4 million | Riverine Flood |
| Clarendon County | Relatively Low | $23.4 million | Hurricane |
| Chesterfield County | Relatively Low | $22.5 million | Riverine Flood |
| Darlington County | Relatively Low | $22.4 million | Riverine Flood |
| Newberry County | Relatively Low | $17.3 million | Riverine Flood |
| Hampton County | Relatively Low | $15.1 million | Hurricane |
| Union County | Relatively Low | $12.5 million | Riverine Flood |
| Marlboro County | Relatively Low | $11.4 million | Hurricane |
| Chester County | Relatively Low | $10.8 million | Riverine Flood |
| Abbeville County | Relatively Low | $10.3 million | Riverine Flood |
| Bamberg County | Relatively Low | $9.3 million | Hurricane |
| Fairfield County | Very Low | $8.5 million | Riverine Flood |
| Barnwell County | Relatively Low | $8.4 million | Riverine Flood |
| Saluda County | Very Low | $8.2 million | Riverine Flood |
| Lee County | Very Low | $7.6 million | Hurricane |
| Allendale County | Very Low | $7.1 million | Hurricane |
| Edgefield County | Very Low | $6.8 million | Riverine Flood |
| Calhoun County | Very Low | $6.1 million | Riverine Flood |
| McCormick County | Very Low | $2.8 million | Riverine Flood |
South Carolina population, values and ratings
- Population
- 5,110,387
- Building value
- $1,137.53 billion
- Agricultural value
- $3.87 billion
- Modeled loss per resident
- $584
Overall county risk ratings
- Very Low: 7
- Relatively Low: 19
- Relatively Moderate: 16
- Relatively High: 4
South Carolina overall ratings describe relative county risk. Segment widths count counties, rather than residents or modeled dollars.
View chart data
| Rating | Count |
|---|---|
| Very Low | 7 |
| Relatively Low | 19 |
| Relatively Moderate | 16 |
| Relatively High | 4 |
South Carolina county pages
South Carolina has 1 detailed county page linked below.
Questions about South Carolina
Which South Carolina county has the largest modeled loss?
Charleston County, SC leads South Carolina, with about $499.8 million in modeled expected annual loss.
Which hazard leads modeled loss in South Carolina?
Hurricanes leads South Carolina, at about $1.19 billion annually.
What total loss does FEMA model for South Carolina?
South Carolina has about $2.99 billion in modeled expected annual loss.
What share of national loss belongs to South Carolina?
The state accounts for 1.9% of national modeled loss.
How many counties appear in the South Carolina table?
The South Carolina table contains 46 counties and county equivalents.
Where does South Carolina rank by modeled loss?
South Carolina places #17 of 56 state-level entries by modeled expected annual loss.
Does the South Carolina estimate predict next year?
The South Carolina figure is a long-run modeled annual average, rather than a forecast for any single year.

South Carolina county modeled expected annual loss, in five within-state quantile classes.