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South Carolina natural hazard risk by county

South Carolina has about $2.99 billion in modeled expected annual loss across 46 counties. The state accounts for 1.9% of the national modeled loss total. Its total ranks #17 among 56 state-level entries by modeled loss. FEMA published these 46 county estimates in its December 2025 National Risk Index. The modeled $2.99 billion annual average does not predict loss in any one year.

Modeled expected annual loss
$2.99 billion / year
Share of US loss
1.9%
State loss rank
#17 of 56
Largest modeled-loss hazard
Hurricane

South Carolina county modeled loss

Greenville County, SC: $169.0 millionBamberg County, SC: $9.3 millionChester County, SC: $10.8 millionUnion County, SC: $12.5 millionFlorence County, SC: $65.2 millionSaluda County, SC: $8.2 millionAnderson County, SC: $67.3 millionGreenwood County, SC: $27.3 millionCharleston County, SC: $499.8 millionYork County, SC: $99.2 millionJasper County, SC: $28.8 millionBeaufort County, SC: $255.6 millionChesterfield County, SC: $22.5 millionDorchester County, SC: $175.8 millionClarendon County, SC: $23.4 millionDarlington County, SC: $22.4 millionDillon County, SC: $35.0 millionGeorgetown County, SC: $90.2 millionHampton County, SC: $15.1 millionLancaster County, SC: $40.1 millionLee County, SC: $7.6 millionMcCormick County, SC: $2.8 millionPickens County, SC: $37.1 millionSumter County, SC: $40.7 millionAllendale County, SC: $7.1 millionAbbeville County, SC: $10.3 millionWilliamsburg County, SC: $30.2 millionAiken County, SC: $47.5 millionHorry County, SC: $290.4 millionColleton County, SC: $37.8 millionLaurens County, SC: $27.1 millionFairfield County, SC: $8.5 millionKershaw County, SC: $23.5 millionOconee County, SC: $45.1 millionSpartanburg County, SC: $89.3 millionBerkeley County, SC: $213.5 millionEdgefield County, SC: $6.8 millionOrangeburg County, SC: $44.3 millionNewberry County, SC: $17.3 millionLexington County, SC: $108.2 millionMarlboro County, SC: $11.4 millionBarnwell County, SC: $8.4 millionCherokee County, SC: $23.4 millionMarion County, SC: $27.1 millionRichland County, SC: $137.8 millionCalhoun County, SC: $6.1 millionCharleston County, SC: detailed page available
  • Positive estimates to $10.3 million
  • Above $10.3 million to $23.4 million
  • Above $23.4 million to $37.8 million
  • Above $37.8 million to $90.2 million
  • Above $90.2 million to $499.8 million
  • No FEMA estimate

South Carolina counties use five within-state quantile classes of modeled expected annual loss. Darker rust means a larger estimate; outlined counties have detailed pages.

View chart data
CountyModeled expected annual loss (USD/year)Overall risk rating
Greenville County, SC168,987,700.40Relatively Moderate
Bamberg County, SC9,304,193.76Relatively Low
Chester County, SC10,840,876.93Relatively Low
Union County, SC12,508,596.56Relatively Low
Florence County, SC65,170,610.90Relatively Moderate
Saluda County, SC8,169,411.39Very Low
Anderson County, SC67,321,570.31Relatively Moderate
Greenwood County, SC27,304,485.02Relatively Low
Charleston County, SC499,798,732.73Relatively High
York County, SC99,245,543.56Relatively Moderate
Jasper County, SC28,814,146.63Relatively Low
Beaufort County, SC255,596,413.63Relatively High
Chesterfield County, SC22,482,718.85Relatively Low
Dorchester County, SC175,800,036.92Relatively Moderate
Clarendon County, SC23,391,160.21Relatively Low
Darlington County, SC22,406,135.40Relatively Low
Dillon County, SC34,970,947.28Relatively Moderate
Georgetown County, SC90,176,010.34Relatively Moderate
Hampton County, SC15,113,492.77Relatively Low
Lancaster County, SC40,147,148.68Relatively Low
Lee County, SC7,602,464.23Very Low
McCormick County, SC2,782,887.17Very Low
Pickens County, SC37,051,088.81Relatively Low
Sumter County, SC40,677,998.58Relatively Moderate
Allendale County, SC7,075,688.34Very Low
Abbeville County, SC10,277,233.42Relatively Low
Williamsburg County, SC30,172,390.73Relatively Moderate
Aiken County, SC47,548,894.22Relatively Moderate
Horry County, SC290,395,172.52Relatively High
Colleton County, SC37,809,134.99Relatively Moderate
Laurens County, SC27,051,658.20Relatively Low
Fairfield County, SC8,485,276.55Very Low
Kershaw County, SC23,452,184.19Relatively Low
Oconee County, SC45,124,023.37Relatively Moderate
Spartanburg County, SC89,346,675.78Relatively Moderate
Berkeley County, SC213,548,238.27Relatively High
Edgefield County, SC6,758,452.12Very Low
Orangeburg County, SC44,299,793.91Relatively Moderate
Newberry County, SC17,285,069.95Relatively Low
Lexington County, SC108,163,417.22Relatively Moderate
Marlboro County, SC11,389,410.12Relatively Low
Barnwell County, SC8,357,925.74Relatively Low
Cherokee County, SC23,427,748.91Relatively Low
Marion County, SC27,137,729.44Relatively Low
Richland County, SC137,805,083.60Relatively Moderate
Calhoun County, SC6,088,464.09Very Low

Reading the South Carolina county map

The map groups 46 county estimates into five within-state loss classes. Each boundary follows the county geography, while the fill represents modeled dollars per year. The class breaks are calculated from South Carolina county values, so a matching shade on another state page need not represent the same amount. Grey marks unmatched geography or an unavailable estimate. Outlined counties link to the detailed profiles available in this release; counties without profiles still contribute to the state totals.

Together, the three largest estimates account for 35.0% of South Carolina modeled annual loss. Their combined population represents 18.5% of the state source population. Comparing these two shares helps distinguish the concentration of modeled dollars from the concentration of residents. Neither share identifies the exposure of an individual address, and the map does not show the location of damage within a county.

Ten largest county loss estimates

USD / yearCharleston County, SC$499.8 millionCharleston County, SC: 499,798,732.73 USD / yearHorry County, SC$290.4 millionHorry County, SC: 290,395,172.52 USD / yearBeaufort County, SC$255.6 millionBeaufort County, SC: 255,596,413.63 USD / yearBerkeley County, SC$213.5 millionBerkeley County, SC: 213,548,238.27 USD / yearDorchester County, SC$175.8 millionDorchester County, SC: 175,800,036.92 USD / yearGreenville County, SC$169.0 millionGreenville County, SC: 168,987,700.40 USD / yearRichland County, SC$137.8 millionRichland County, SC: 137,805,083.60 USD / yearLexington County, SC$108.2 millionLexington County, SC: 108,163,417.22 USD / yearYork County, SC$99.2 millionYork County, SC: 99,245,543.56 USD / yearGeorgetown County, SC$90.2 millionGeorgetown County, SC: 90,176,010.34 USD / year0$499.8 million

Charleston County, SC has the largest modeled expected annual loss in this comparison, about $499.8 million.

View chart data
PlaceUSD / year
Charleston County, SC499,798,732.73
Horry County, SC290,395,172.52
Beaufort County, SC255,596,413.63
Berkeley County, SC213,548,238.27
Dorchester County, SC175,800,036.92
Greenville County, SC168,987,700.40
Richland County, SC137,805,083.60
Lexington County, SC108,163,417.22
York County, SC99,245,543.56
Georgetown County, SC90,176,010.34

County totals beside population

Charleston County, SC combines about $499.8 million in modeled annual loss with 407,722 recorded residents. Dividing those figures gives about $1,226 per resident, compared with $584 statewide. On this population-adjusted measure, the county places #4 among the 46 state county records. This ratio spreads all modeled losses across residents for comparison; it is not a household bill, an insurance premium or an estimate of personal damage.

Horry County, SC combines about $290.4 million in modeled annual loss with 348,574 recorded residents. Dividing those figures gives about $833 per resident, compared with $584 statewide. On this population-adjusted measure, the county places #12 among the 46 state county records. This ratio spreads all modeled losses across residents for comparison; it is not a household bill, an insurance premium or an estimate of personal damage.

State hazard loss mix

Hurricane$1.19 billion · 39.9%Hurricane: 1,190,765,748.41 USD/year; 39.9%Riverine Flood$785.0 million · 26.3%Riverine Flood: 785,006,242.69 USD/year; 26.3%Earthquake$374.1 million · 12.5%Earthquake: 374,116,977.84 USD/year; 12.5%Tornado$201.8 million · 6.8%Tornado: 201,801,814.05 USD/year; 6.8%Cold Wave$152.3 million · 5.1%Cold Wave: 152,261,530.54 USD/year; 5.1%Coastal Flood$57.2 million · 1.9%Coastal Flood: 57,196,655.60 USD/year; 1.9%Other$225.5 million · 7.6%Other: 225,515,082.68 USD/year; 7.6%0$1.19 billion

Hurricane leads the modeled expected annual loss mix; bar lengths share a zero baseline.

View chart data
HazardUSD / yearShare
Hurricane1,190,765,748.4139.9%
Riverine Flood785,006,242.6926.3%
Earthquake374,116,977.8412.5%
Tornado201,801,814.056.8%
Cold Wave152,261,530.545.1%
Coastal Flood57,196,655.601.9%
Other225,515,082.687.6%

Beaufort County, SC combines about $255.6 million in modeled annual loss with 186,606 recorded residents. Dividing those figures gives about $1,370 per resident, compared with $584 statewide. On this population-adjusted measure, the county places #2 among the 46 state county records. This ratio spreads all modeled losses across residents for comparison; it is not a household bill, an insurance premium or an estimate of personal damage.

Where the leading hazards are concentrated

For hurricanes, Charleston County, SC contributes 23.6% of the state hazard total. The next county, Beaufort County, SC, contributes about $200.6 million annually, compared with $281.3 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 46 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $708.8 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #6 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 39.9%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.

County hazard rating counts

HurricaneRelatively Low: 18 counties18Relatively Moderate: 13 counties13Relatively High: 10 counties10Very High: 5 counties5Riverine FloodVery Low: 8 counties8Relatively Low: 19 counties19Relatively Moderate: 17 counties17Relatively High: 2 countiesEarthquakeVery Low: 1 countiesRelatively Low: 30 counties30Relatively Moderate: 14 counties14Relatively High: 1 counties
  • Very Low
  • Relatively Low
  • Relatively Moderate
  • Relatively High
  • Very High
  • No rating

South Carolina has 46 county records in each row. Each bar shows the FEMA risk rating distribution for one of the three largest modeled-loss hazards.

View chart data
HazardRatingCount
HurricaneVery Low0
HurricaneRelatively Low18
HurricaneRelatively Moderate13
HurricaneRelatively High10
HurricaneVery High5
HurricaneNo rating0
Riverine FloodVery Low8
Riverine FloodRelatively Low19
Riverine FloodRelatively Moderate17
Riverine FloodRelatively High2
Riverine FloodVery High0
Riverine FloodNo rating0
EarthquakeVery Low1
EarthquakeRelatively Low30
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate14
EarthquakeRelatively High1
EarthquakeVery High0
EarthquakeNo rating0

For riverine flooding, Greenville County, SC contributes 13.3% of the state hazard total. The next county, Richland County, SC, contributes about $74.1 million annually, compared with $104.5 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 46 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $606.5 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #28 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 26.3%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.

For earthquakes, Charleston County, SC contributes 31.5% of the state hazard total. The next county, Dorchester County, SC, contributes about $58.2 million annually, compared with $118.0 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 46 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $197.9 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #10 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 12.5%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.

For tornadoes, Lexington County, SC contributes 11.8% of the state hazard total. The next county, York County, SC, contributes about $23.4 million annually, compared with $23.9 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 46 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $154.5 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #22 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 6.8%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.

For cold waves, Oconee County, SC contributes 13.1% of the state hazard total. The next county, Greenville County, SC, contributes about $15.0 million annually, compared with $20.0 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 46 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $117.3 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #24 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 5.1%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.

For coastal flooding, Charleston County, SC contributes 62.3% of the state hazard total. The next county, Beaufort County, SC, contributes about $9.8 million annually, compared with $35.6 million for the leader. Across South Carolina, 11 county records have a positive modeled estimate for this hazard. The remaining counties together account for about $11.7 million after those two leading estimates. The state places #7 of 56 state-level entries for this hazard. Its share of the state loss mix is 1.9%. These comparisons describe modeled losses rather than future events.

South Carolina hazard totals and county comparisons

Hazard comparison · VH / RH = Very High / Relatively High county counts; US rank compares state totals
HazardModeled annual lossState shareVH / RH countiesLargest countyUS state rank
Hurricane$1.19 billion39.9%39.87% of state modeled loss5 / 10Charleston County, SC#6 of 56
Riverine Flood$785.0 million26.3%26.28% of state modeled loss0 / 2Greenville County, SC#28 of 56
Earthquake$374.1 million12.5%12.53% of state modeled loss0 / 1Charleston County, SC#10 of 56
Tornado$201.8 million6.8%6.76% of state modeled loss0 / 7Lexington County, SC#22 of 56
Cold Wave$152.3 million5.1%5.10% of state modeled loss0 / 7Oconee County, SC#24 of 56
Coastal Flood$57.2 million1.9%1.92% of state modeled loss1 / 3Charleston County, SC#7 of 56
Heat Wave$53.9 million1.8%1.81% of state modeled loss0 / 0Richland County, SC#31 of 56
Strong Wind$48.3 million1.6%1.62% of state modeled loss0 / 14York County, SC#25 of 56
Ice Storm$41.7 million1.4%1.40% of state modeled loss6 / 23Greenville County, SC#7 of 56
Lightning$36.3 million1.2%1.22% of state modeled loss2 / 18Greenville County, SC#18 of 56
Hail$20.9 million0.7%0.70% of state modeled loss0 / 0Greenville County, SC#26 of 56
Wildfire$14.9 million0.5%0.50% of state modeled loss0 / 0Charleston County, SC#21 of 56
Drought$5.8 million0.2%0.19% of state modeled loss0 / 0York County, SC#30 of 56
Winter Weather$3.4 million0.1%0.12% of state modeled loss0 / 2Horry County, SC#36 of 56
Landslide$148,0000.0%0.00% of state modeled loss0 / 0Richland County, SC#42 of 56

Hazard shares show which modeled expected annual losses dominate the state total; ranks compare state totals for the same hazard.

South Carolina hazard totals combine the county estimates. The largest county column identifies concentration within each hazard; the state rank compares the same hazard across state-level entries.

South Carolina county loss totals

South Carolina county modeled annual loss
CountyRisk index ratingModeled annual lossLargest hazard
Charleston CountyRelatively High$499.8 millionHurricane
Horry CountyRelatively High$290.4 millionHurricane
Beaufort CountyRelatively High$255.6 millionHurricane
Berkeley CountyRelatively High$213.5 millionHurricane
Dorchester CountyRelatively Moderate$175.8 millionHurricane
Greenville CountyRelatively Moderate$169.0 millionRiverine Flood
Richland CountyRelatively Moderate$137.8 millionRiverine Flood
Lexington CountyRelatively Moderate$108.2 millionRiverine Flood
York CountyRelatively Moderate$99.2 millionRiverine Flood
Georgetown CountyRelatively Moderate$90.2 millionHurricane
Spartanburg CountyRelatively Moderate$89.3 millionRiverine Flood
Anderson CountyRelatively Moderate$67.3 millionRiverine Flood
Florence CountyRelatively Moderate$65.2 millionHurricane
Aiken CountyRelatively Moderate$47.5 millionRiverine Flood
Oconee CountyRelatively Moderate$45.1 millionCold Wave
Show all 46 counties
South Carolina county modeled annual loss
CountyRisk index ratingModeled annual lossLargest hazard
Orangeburg CountyRelatively Moderate$44.3 millionHurricane
Sumter CountyRelatively Moderate$40.7 millionRiverine Flood
Lancaster CountyRelatively Low$40.1 millionRiverine Flood
Colleton CountyRelatively Moderate$37.8 millionHurricane
Pickens CountyRelatively Low$37.1 millionRiverine Flood
Dillon CountyRelatively Moderate$35.0 millionHurricane
Williamsburg CountyRelatively Moderate$30.2 millionHurricane
Jasper CountyRelatively Low$28.8 millionHurricane
Greenwood CountyRelatively Low$27.3 millionRiverine Flood
Marion CountyRelatively Low$27.1 millionHurricane
Laurens CountyRelatively Low$27.1 millionRiverine Flood
Kershaw CountyRelatively Low$23.5 millionRiverine Flood
Cherokee CountyRelatively Low$23.4 millionRiverine Flood
Clarendon CountyRelatively Low$23.4 millionHurricane
Chesterfield CountyRelatively Low$22.5 millionRiverine Flood
Darlington CountyRelatively Low$22.4 millionRiverine Flood
Newberry CountyRelatively Low$17.3 millionRiverine Flood
Hampton CountyRelatively Low$15.1 millionHurricane
Union CountyRelatively Low$12.5 millionRiverine Flood
Marlboro CountyRelatively Low$11.4 millionHurricane
Chester CountyRelatively Low$10.8 millionRiverine Flood
Abbeville CountyRelatively Low$10.3 millionRiverine Flood
Bamberg CountyRelatively Low$9.3 millionHurricane
Fairfield CountyVery Low$8.5 millionRiverine Flood
Barnwell CountyRelatively Low$8.4 millionRiverine Flood
Saluda CountyVery Low$8.2 millionRiverine Flood
Lee CountyVery Low$7.6 millionHurricane
Allendale CountyVery Low$7.1 millionHurricane
Edgefield CountyVery Low$6.8 millionRiverine Flood
Calhoun CountyVery Low$6.1 millionRiverine Flood
McCormick CountyVery Low$2.8 millionRiverine Flood

South Carolina population, values and ratings

Population
5,110,387
Building value
$1,137.53 billion
Agricultural value
$3.87 billion
Modeled loss per resident
$584

Overall county risk ratings

Very Low: 7 county recordsRelatively Low: 19 county recordsRelatively Moderate: 16 county recordsRelatively High: 4 county records
  • Very Low: 7
  • Relatively Low: 19
  • Relatively Moderate: 16
  • Relatively High: 4

South Carolina overall ratings describe relative county risk. Segment widths count counties, rather than residents or modeled dollars.

View chart data
RatingCount
Very Low7
Relatively Low19
Relatively Moderate16
Relatively High4

South Carolina county pages

South Carolina has 1 detailed county page linked below.

US county comparisons alongside South Carolina

Questions about South Carolina

Which South Carolina county has the largest modeled loss?

Charleston County, SC leads South Carolina, with about $499.8 million in modeled expected annual loss.

Which hazard leads modeled loss in South Carolina?

Hurricanes leads South Carolina, at about $1.19 billion annually.

What total loss does FEMA model for South Carolina?

South Carolina has about $2.99 billion in modeled expected annual loss.

What share of national loss belongs to South Carolina?

The state accounts for 1.9% of national modeled loss.

How many counties appear in the South Carolina table?

The South Carolina table contains 46 counties and county equivalents.

Where does South Carolina rank by modeled loss?

South Carolina places #17 of 56 state-level entries by modeled expected annual loss.

Does the South Carolina estimate predict next year?

The South Carolina figure is a long-run modeled annual average, rather than a forecast for any single year.

Map of South Carolina counties by modeled expected annual loss. Darker rust means larger estimates; grey means no FEMA estimate.

South Carolina county modeled expected annual loss, in five within-state quantile classes.